AppsFlyerAppsFlyer

Predictive marketing explained – why it matters

By Omer Efrat·Feb 25, 2021·6 min read

Summary

The role of user acquisition (UA) managers has evolved with challenges in optimizing campaigns and measuring user quality. They use BI tools and third-party tech to balance cost per user against LTV, but often rely on intuition due to data gaps. Campaigns target user cohorts via ad networks or platforms like Facebook, with attributes like budget and bid price.

Performance is measured through KPIs like engagement and revenue. Key challenge is the delay in LTV estimation, requiring 7-14 days of clean data for insights, causing potential money loss. Predictive analytics offers a solution by correlating early user behavior with long-term LTV using deep learning, but requires vast data and computing resources, limiting accessibility.

AppsFlyer leverages its unique position to provide unbiased predictive insights in minimal time.

You Might Also Like

AppsFlyerAppsFlyer

Everything a developer needs to know about deep linking

Attribution identifies user sources via third-party SDKs. Deep linking uses that data to route users to specific app content. Deterministic matching offers 100% accuracy; probabilistic uses statistics. Key mechanisms include URI schemes, Universal Links, and App Links.

Shani Rosenfelder·Jan 28, 2021·15 min readRead article →
AppsFlyerAppsFlyer

The marketer’s field guide to mobile ad fraud

Mobile ad fraud wastes billions yearly. Categories: attribution hijacking (real users, fake clicks) and fake installs (bots, device farms). Fraudsters evolve, exploiting industry complexities. Key to combat: education, secure SDKs, post-attribution detection.

Shani Rosenfelder·Jan 31, 2021·15 min readRead article →
AppsFlyerAppsFlyer

Marketing attribution: what it is and how to measure it

Marketing attribution is critical for connecting spend to revenue, but platform self-reporting and last-click bias distort budget decisions. Single-touch models (first/last-click) are simple but miss the full journey; multi-touch models (position-based, data-driven) are more accurate but require robust data. Mobile attribution is particularly challenging due to ATT, SKAdNetwork, and cross-platform gaps, necessitating a mobile measurement partner (MMP) for independent, deduplicated measurement. Clean attribution data is essential for AI-driven optimization—bad signals lead to bad decisions. Starting with position-based attribution and incrementality testing provides a practical foundation.

Shani Rosenfelder·Jul 9, 2026·15 min readRead article →
MolocoMoloco

Inside Moloco's CARA: the AI that compounds

The open internet presents unique challenges for performance advertising: fragmented identity, closed first-price auctions, and non-stationary supply. Moloco's CARA compound architecture tackles this with six integrated technical domains—Campaign Automation, Supply, Ad Recommendations, Bidding, Creative, and Signals—running on a unified ML infrastructure. Key insights for ad ops: the system continuously learns from every interaction, uses knowledge distillation to serve real-time predictions under 10ms latency, and validates improvements through rigorous live experiments. In 2025, 65 validated model updates reduced CPA by 17% and improved ROAS by 27%. The key takeaway: compound AI architectures that connect prediction, bidding, creative, and data can unlock measurable performance gains beyond walled gardens.

Tal Shaked·Aug 7, 2026·14 min readRead article →
AdjustAdjust

A guide to user testing for mobile apps | Adjust

User testing reveals the gap between designer intent and user experience, uncovering silent churn causes like unclear onboarding or passive ad chains. Analytics show what happens; user testing explains why. Small tests (5-8 participants) can identify friction points, and improving retention by 10% can significantly boost revenue without changing monetization. For ad ops, this means better user engagement reduces wasted ad spend and increases lifetime value.

Insights Team·Jul 9, 2026·7 min readRead article →
MetaMeta

Apple’s iOS 14 Changes Are Almost Here: How to Finish Preparing and What’s Changing

Facebook changes due to iOS 14.5 include restricted measurement, limited campaigns (9 per app, 8 web events per domain), and need for SDK updates. Advertisers must act to avoid disruption.

Apr 21, 2021·8 min readRead article →
MetaMeta

Speaking Up for Small Businesses

Apple's iOS 14 policy forces apps to show a prompt discouraging tracking, harming personalized ads crucial for small businesses. Facebook argues it's profit-driven, exempts Apple's own ads. This may force free services to charge, hurting small businesses and content creators.

Dan Levy·Dec 16, 2020·8 min readRead article →
AdjustAdjust

Adjust x OpenAI Ads Manager integration for ChatGPT Ads | Adjust

Adjust now supports ChatGPT Ads measurement, enabling advertisers to attribute installs and post-install events from campaigns within ChatGPT. The integration provides URL templates for clicks and impressions, and uses the Conversions API to report conversions back to OpenAI. Advertisers can configure the module in Adjust by entering API credentials and mapping events. This allows tracking of key metrics like impressions, clicks, spend, CTR, CPC, and CPM, making ChatGPT Ads a measurable, data-driven channel for user acquisition.

Tiahn Wetzler·Jul 27, 2026·2 min readRead article →

More from AppsFlyer